Benfica vs Casa Pia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Benfica v Casa Pia — Team-Based Signals
Benfica vs Casa Pia Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Casa Pia
POR
3-0
HT 2-0
Casa Pia
POR
0-1
HT 0-0
Benfica
POR
Benfica 3-0 Casa Pia — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica cruised past Casa Pia 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.
On the day, Benfica had 63% of the ball to Casa Pia's 37%, shots finished 27-6, expected goals 2.50 to 0.29.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Benfica had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Benfica and 0.25 for Casa Pia.
What was the final score of Benfica vs Casa Pia?
Benfica 3-0 Casa Pia in the Portugal - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Benfica vs Casa Pia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Benfica 65%, draw 19%, Casa Pia 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.