Göztepe 2-2 Fenerbahçe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 17 Aug 2024

Göztepe
2-2 HT 0-2
Fenerbahçe
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Göztepe vs Fenerbahçe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.04
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
58%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.8
Over 2.5
56%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.09
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.79
6+ Goals
11%
16.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.48
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
24.0
1/X
8%
16.7
X/1
6%
9.18
X/2
17%
3.76
X/X
10%
5.02
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
34%
2.21
2/X
4%
16.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.0 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-1.7pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
58%
Away Win
55%
+3.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Göztepe v Fenerbahçe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göztepe EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 59%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +21%
1.76/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/1.00
+29% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +31%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 81%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
19.4 Crosses 19.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Göztepe vs Fenerbahçe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göztepe
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Fenerbahçe
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.58 xG 1.69
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
252 Passes 403
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.04.2022 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-0 HT 1-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
29.11.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 1-1 HT 1-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
21.02.2021 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 0-1 HT 0-1 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
18.10.2020 Göztepe Göztepe 2-3 HT 1-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
04.07.2020 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-1 HT 2-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
30.11.2019 Göztepe Göztepe 2-2 HT 1-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL

Göztepe 2-2 Fenerbahçe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göztepe
2-2
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.87 xG 2.13
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
221 Passes 303
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Göztepe vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göztepe and Fenerbahçe couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fenerbahçe at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Göztepe had 45% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 55%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 0.87 to 2.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Göztepe and 1.67 for Fenerbahçe.

What was the final score of Göztepe vs Fenerbahçe?

Göztepe 2-2 Fenerbahçe in the Turkey - Super League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göztepe vs Fenerbahçe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Göztepe 20%, draw 22%, Fenerbahçe 58%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Fenerbahçe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5
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