Kayserispor 1-2 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.45
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.46
6+ Goals
12%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.13
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1
15%
5.02
X/2
9%
6.49
X/X
11%
4.57
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
12%
4.49
2/X
10%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-3.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.51/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.49
-6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
22.5 Crosses 17.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kayserispor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sivasspor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.30 xG 1.57
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
375 Passes 329
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Sivasspor Sivasspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
07.01.2024 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-3 HT 1-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
06.06.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
13.01.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 4-1 HT 3-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
26.05.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-3 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TÜK
21.05.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kayserispor
1-2
AWAY Sivasspor
1.83 xG 1.18
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
464 Passes 202
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 9
41 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kayserispor vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sivasspor nicked a narrow win over Kayserispor 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kayserispor at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kayserispor had 67% of the ball to Sivasspor's 33%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.83 to 1.18 — the balance of chances actually favoured Kayserispor.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sivasspor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kayserispor and 2.00 for Sivasspor.

What was the final score of Kayserispor vs Sivasspor?

Kayserispor 1-2 Sivasspor in the Turkey - Super League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kayserispor vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kayserispor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kayserispor 43%, draw 29%, Sivasspor 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kayserispor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kayserispor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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