Sivasspor 2-1 Kayserispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.88
2-3 Goals
44%
1.94
4-5 Goals
22%
2.8
6+ Goals
10%
7.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.0pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.45/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.59
-23% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
23.7 Crosses 16.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sivasspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kayserispor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.58 xG 1.23
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
373 Passes 356
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.01.2024 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-3 HT 1-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
06.06.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
13.01.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 4-1 HT 3-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
26.05.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-3 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TÜK
21.05.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
27.12.2021 Kayserispor Kayserispor 3-0 HT 3-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sivasspor
2-1
AWAY Kayserispor
1.02 xG 1.65
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
246 Passes 397
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sivasspor vs Kayserispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sivasspor nicked a narrow win over Kayserispor 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sivasspor as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sivasspor had 41% of the ball to Kayserispor's 59%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.02 to 1.65 — on chances, Kayserispor could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sivasspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sivasspor and 2.00 for Kayserispor.

What was the final score of Sivasspor vs Kayserispor?

Sivasspor 2-1 Kayserispor in the Turkey - Super League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sivasspor vs Kayserispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sivasspor win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sivasspor 49%, draw 22%, Kayserispor 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sivasspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sivasspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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