Fatih Karagümrük vs Samsunspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fatih Karagümrük v Samsunspor — Team-Based Signals
Fatih Karagümrük vs Samsunspor Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-0
Samsunspor
TÜK
0-1
HT 0-1
Fatih Karagümrük
TÜK
0-3
HT 0-3
Samsunspor
TÜK
Fatih Karagümrük 3-1 Samsunspor — Actual Match Statistics
Fatih Karagümrük saw off Samsunspor 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Fatih Karagümrük as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Fatih Karagümrük had 39% of the ball to Samsunspor's 61%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 2.09 to 1.21.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Samsunspor led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Fatih Karagümrük and 1.60 for Samsunspor.
What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Samsunspor?
Fatih Karagümrük 3-1 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Super League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fatih Karagümrük vs Samsunspor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 44%, draw 28%, Samsunspor 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) — while BTTS No went the other way.