Adana Demirspor 1-2 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.71
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 28% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.28
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
4%
12.45
X/1
11%
6.41
X/2
14%
5.23
X/X
15%
4.69
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
17%
3.19
2/X
6%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 45%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -11%
1.55/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.34
+20% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
10.4 Crosses 22.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adana Demirspor
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.85 xG 1.41
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
266 Passes 279
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 4
13.01.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
13.08.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
22.12.2022 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 3-4 HT 0-2 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TÜK
06.02.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-3 HT 0-2 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
18.09.2021 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 3-1 HT 2-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
28.01.2018 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adana Demirspor
1-2
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.26 xG 1.45
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
334 Passes 273
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Adana Demirspor vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çaykur Rizespor nicked a narrow win over Adana Demirspor 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Çaykur Rizespor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Adana Demirspor had 53% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 47%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.26 to 1.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Adana Demirspor and 1.50 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of Adana Demirspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Adana Demirspor 1-2 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adana Demirspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Çaykur Rizespor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Adana Demirspor 36%, draw 25%, Çaykur Rizespor 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) ✓ BTTS Yes
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