Karpaty Lviv 1-3 Dynamo Kiev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.4
Draw
30%
4.19
Away
53%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
15%
+1.7pp
30%
Draw
21%
+9.2pp
53%
Away Win
64%
-11.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karpaty Lviv EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 69%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.79/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/1.00
+78% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -15%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
328 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 89%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karpaty Lviv
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Dynamo Kiev
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
27.10.2019 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 1-1 HT 0-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
31.07.2019 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 0-2 HT 0-2 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
08.12.2018 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 0-4 HT 0-1 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
02.09.2018 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 0-2 HT 0-2 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
29.10.2017 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 1-1 HT 0-1 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
29.07.2017 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 5-0 HT 1-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karpaty Lviv
1-3
AWAY Dynamo Kiev
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Karpaty Lviv vs Dynamo Kiev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Kiev beat Karpaty Lviv 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dynamo Kiev as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Kiev led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Karpaty Lviv and 2.17 for Dynamo Kiev.

What was the final score of Karpaty Lviv vs Dynamo Kiev?

Karpaty Lviv 1-3 Dynamo Kiev in the Ukraine - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karpaty Lviv vs Dynamo Kiev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dynamo Kiev win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Karpaty Lviv 17%, draw 30%, Dynamo Kiev 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Kiev), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) ✓ BTTS Yes
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