Polessya 1-1 Inhulets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polessya EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Inhulets EU Bookmakers 22%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -14%
1.19/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.40
-29% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polessya
1-1
AWAY Inhulets
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Polessya vs Inhulets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya and Inhulets couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Polessya at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Polessya had 50% of the ball to Inhulets's 50%, shots finished 5-5.

What was the final score of Polessya vs Inhulets?

Polessya 1-1 Inhulets in the Ukraine - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polessya vs Inhulets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Polessya 47%, draw 28%, Inhulets 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Polessya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Polessya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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