Zorya Luhansk 1-2 Oleksandria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.0pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Oleksandria EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.23/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.94
+6% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zorya Luhansk
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Oleksandria
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Oleksandria Oleksandria 0-0 HT 0-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
18.08.2023 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 0-0 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
28.05.2023 Oleksandria Oleksandria 0-2 HT 0-2 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
18.11.2022 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 4-1 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
29.11.2021 Oleksandria Oleksandria 0-1 HT 0-1 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
25.07.2021 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 0-1 HT 0-1 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zorya Luhansk
1-2
AWAY Oleksandria
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Zorya Luhansk vs Oleksandria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oleksandria squeezed past Zorya Luhansk 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Oleksandria made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zorya Luhansk had 53% of the ball to Oleksandria's 47%, shots finished 7-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zorya Luhansk had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zorya Luhansk and 0.33 for Oleksandria.

What was the final score of Zorya Luhansk vs Oleksandria?

Zorya Luhansk 1-2 Oleksandria in the Ukraine - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zorya Luhansk vs Oleksandria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zorya Luhansk win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Zorya Luhansk 37%, draw 28%, Oleksandria 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zorya Luhansk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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