Universidad Chile 1-3 Audax Italiano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.86/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.26
+4% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
27.7 Crosses 14.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universidad Chile
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Audax Italiano
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.09 xG 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
328 Passes 223
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.03.2025 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-1 HT 0-1 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
29.07.2024 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-0 HT 0-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
25.02.2024 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 1-0 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
03.10.2023 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 2-0 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
16.04.2023 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-2 HT 1-1 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
04.10.2022 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 2-3 HT 1-1 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universidad Chile
1-3
AWAY Audax Italiano
1.57 xG 1.07
68% Ball Possession 32%
19 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
441 Passes 173
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
33 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Universidad Chile vs Audax Italiano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audax Italiano beat Universidad Chile 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Universidad Chile carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Universidad Chile had 68% of the ball to Audax Italiano's 32%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 1.57 to 1.07 — on chances, Universidad Chile could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universidad Chile had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Universidad Chile and 1.00 for Audax Italiano.

What was the final score of Universidad Chile vs Audax Italiano?

Universidad Chile 1-3 Audax Italiano in the Chile - Premier League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad Chile vs Audax Italiano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Universidad Chile 55%, draw 23%, Audax Italiano 22%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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