Velbert 1-2 Mönchengladbach II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
51%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
25%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.1pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.3pp
51%
Away Win
48%
+3.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.0pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velbert EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Mönchengladbach II EU Bookmakers 52%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +18%
1.30/2.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.09
-4% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velbert
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Mönchengladbach II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 4
30.03.2024 Velbert Velbert 1-1 HT 1-1 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II ALMBÖL
07.10.2023 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II 4-2 HT 0-1 Velbert Velbert ALMBÖL
05.09.2015 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II 2-2 HT 1-0 Velbert Velbert ALMBÖL
25.03.2014 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II 5-1 HT 4-1 Velbert Velbert ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Velbert vs Mönchengladbach II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mönchengladbach II squeezed past Velbert 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mönchengladbach II as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Mönchengladbach II led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Velbert and 3.00 for Mönchengladbach II.

What was the final score of Velbert vs Mönchengladbach II?

Velbert 1-2 Mönchengladbach II in the Germany - Regional League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velbert vs Mönchengladbach II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mönchengladbach II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Velbert 28%, draw 20%, Mönchengladbach II 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mönchengladbach II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mönchengladbach II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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