Wiedenbrück 3-1 Paderborn 07 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-1.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.7pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wiedenbrück EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Paderborn 07 II EU Bookmakers 49%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.15/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/2.02
-15% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
312 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wiedenbrück
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Paderborn 07 II
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
26.04.2025 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück 2-1 HT 0-0 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II ALMBÖL
04.11.2024 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II 1-2 HT 0-0 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück ALMBÖL
27.04.2024 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück 1-1 HT 0-0 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II ALMBÖL
04.11.2023 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II 2-2 HT 1-1 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Wiedenbrück vs Paderborn 07 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wiedenbrück beat Paderborn 07 II 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Paderborn 07 II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Wiedenbrück had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Wiedenbrück and 1.25 for Paderborn 07 II.

What was the final score of Wiedenbrück vs Paderborn 07 II?

Wiedenbrück 3-1 Paderborn 07 II in the Germany - Regional League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wiedenbrück vs Paderborn 07 II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paderborn 07 II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Wiedenbrück 30%, draw 27%, Paderborn 07 II 43%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paderborn 07 II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paderborn 07 II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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