Patronato 1-0 Arsenal Sarandi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
18%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.1pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.5pp
18%
Away Win
24%
-5.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patronato EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.06/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.33
-16% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
216 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patronato
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.35 xG 1.15
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
304 Passes 249
74% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 15
31 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2025 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 0-1 HT 0-1 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
12.10.2024 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 2-0 HT 0-0 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
26.05.2024 Patronato Patronato 0-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJPBN
09.07.2022 Patronato Patronato 0-1 HT 0-1 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJ
10.08.2021 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 2-2 HT 2-1 Patronato Patronato ARJ
04.02.2020 Patronato Patronato 2-2 HT 0-2 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJ
POST-MATCH Patronato vs Arsenal Sarandi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patronato edged past Arsenal Sarandi 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Patronato as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal Sarandi led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Patronato and 1.17 for Arsenal Sarandi.

What was the final score of Patronato vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Patronato 1-0 Arsenal Sarandi in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patronato vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patronato win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Patronato 49%, draw 33%, Arsenal Sarandi 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Patronato), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Patronato) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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