St. Truidense 2-1 La Louvière — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.27
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.16
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
19%
4.17
X/2
8%
9.5
X/X
13%
5.04
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.8
2/2
8%
7.64
2/X
6%
15.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.8 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
55%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.7pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY La Louvière EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.73/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/1.46
-13% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +73%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 77%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
21.4 Crosses 8.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH St. Truidense vs La Louvière
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense edged past La Louvière 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St. Truidense as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of St. Truidense vs La Louvière?

St. Truidense 2-1 La Louvière in the Belgium - Pro League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Truidense vs La Louvière?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Truidense win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split St. Truidense 54%, draw 25%, La Louvière 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Truidense), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Truidense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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