Sporting Charleroi 1-1 Royal Antwerp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.72
6+ Goals
10%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 29% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.32
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
14%
5.18
X/2
11%
6.3
X/X
11%
4.21
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
19%
4.5
2/X
6%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.5pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.54/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.54
-25% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
19.3 Crosses 12.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Royal Antwerp
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
2.04 xG 1.95
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
341 Passes 465
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.05.2025 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-2 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
08.12.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-3 HT 0-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
28.07.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-1 HT 0-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
21.01.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 4-1 HT 2-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
06.12.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 5-2 HT 1-2 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEK
21.10.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-2 HT 0-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
1-1
AWAY Royal Antwerp
0.99 xG 0.84
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
288 Passes 278
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs Royal Antwerp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi and Royal Antwerp shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 51% of the ball to Royal Antwerp's 49%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.99 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 2.33 for Royal Antwerp.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs Royal Antwerp?

Sporting Charleroi 1-1 Royal Antwerp in the Belgium - Pro League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs Royal Antwerp?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 40%, draw 25%, Royal Antwerp 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✓ Under 2.5
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