Royal Antwerp 1-2 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 29 May 2025

📅29/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.48
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.3
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
30.0
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
14%
5.38
X/2
13%
6.42
X/X
13%
4.86
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
20%
4.35
2/X
5%
13.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 30.0 — our 7% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-6.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
41%
Away Win
32%
+8.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 36%
-11% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.48/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.42
-14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
18.2 Crosses 17.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Antwerp
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.99 xG 1.62
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
490 Passes 323
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-3 HT 0-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
28.07.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-1 HT 0-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
21.01.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 4-1 HT 2-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
06.12.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 5-2 HT 1-2 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEK
21.10.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-2 HT 0-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
19.03.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal Antwerp
1-2
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
2.44 xG 2.43
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
428 Passes 324
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Royal Antwerp vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi nicked a narrow win over Royal Antwerp 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Charleroi as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Royal Antwerp had 56% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 44%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 2.44 to 2.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Royal Antwerp and 1.67 for Sporting Charleroi.

What was the final score of Royal Antwerp vs Sporting Charleroi?

Royal Antwerp 1-2 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 29/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Antwerp vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Royal Antwerp 35%, draw 25%, Sporting Charleroi 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Charleroi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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