Dender EH 0-2 Anderlecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.3
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 30% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.69
1/2
11%
24.5
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
9%
6.61
X/2
18%
4.93
X/X
12%
4.76
2/1
5%
31.5
2/2
17%
2.98
2/X
8%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
47%
Away Win
43%
+3.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 48%
+15% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +17%
1.15/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.31
+17% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +28%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
20.2 Crosses 16.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dender EH
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Anderlecht
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.97 xG 1.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
312 Passes 470
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 28
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.12.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-3 HT 2-1 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
28.09.2024 Dender EH Dender EH 1-1 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
29.06.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-1 HT 2-1 Dender EH Dender EH HAZ
23.12.2009 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3-0 HT 2-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEK
25.04.2009 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4-0 HT 3-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
28.11.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 0-2 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dender EH
0-2
AWAY Anderlecht
0.83 xG 2.11
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
279 Passes 445
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs Anderlecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht beat Dender EH 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Anderlecht as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dender EH had 41% of the ball to Anderlecht's 59%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.83 to 2.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dender EH and 2.33 for Anderlecht.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs Anderlecht?

Dender EH 0-2 Anderlecht in the Belgium - Pro League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs Anderlecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 29%, draw 24%, Anderlecht 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anderlecht) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✗ Over 2.5
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