Dender EH 1-1 Anderlecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
38%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.91
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.41
1/2
7%
23.15
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
13%
7.7
X/2
17%
4.53
X/X
11%
5.11
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
15%
2.57
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+8.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
38%
Away Win
48%
-9.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 52%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.12/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.25
-13% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
Crosses 15.1
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dender EH
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Anderlecht
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 2
29.06.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-1 HT 2-1 Dender EH Dender EH HAZ
23.12.2009 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3-0 HT 2-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEK
25.04.2009 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4-0 HT 3-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
28.11.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 0-2 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
27.02.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 1-1 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEK
02.02.2008 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-0 HT 1-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dender EH
1-1
AWAY Anderlecht
1.61 xG 1.46
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
296 Passes 507
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 37
21 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs Anderlecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dender EH and Anderlecht shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Dender EH had 39% of the ball to Anderlecht's 61%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.61 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Dender EH and 2.17 for Anderlecht.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs Anderlecht?

Dender EH 1-1 Anderlecht in the Belgium - Pro League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs Anderlecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 35%, draw 27%, Anderlecht 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Anderlecht) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✓ BTTS Yes
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