Auxerre vs Lorient Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Auxerre v Lorient — Team-Based Signals
Auxerre vs Lorient Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Auxerre 1-0 Lorient — Actual Match Statistics
Auxerre nicked a narrow win over Lorient 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Auxerre as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Auxerre had 44% of the ball to Lorient's 56%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 1.44 to 1.37.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Auxerre and 1.17 for Lorient.
What was the final score of Auxerre vs Lorient?
Auxerre 1-0 Lorient in the France - Ligue 1 on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Auxerre vs Lorient?
Before kick-off our model rated a Auxerre win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Auxerre 41%, draw 28%, Lorient 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auxerre), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.