Brest vs Lille Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brest v Lille — Team-Based Signals
Brest vs Lille Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Brest 3-3 Lille — Actual Match Statistics
Brest and Lille couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Brest had 46% of the ball to Lille's 54%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.01 to 1.62.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Brest and 1.17 for Lille.
What was the final score of Brest vs Lille?
Brest 3-3 Lille in the France - Ligue 1 on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brest vs Lille?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Brest 36%, draw 27%, Lille 38%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lille), Under 2.5 went the other way.