Brest vs Lille Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brest v Lille — Team-Based Signals
Brest vs Lille Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Brest 2-0 Lille — Actual Match Statistics
Brest saw off Lille 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Lille at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Brest had 39% of the ball to Lille's 61%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.19 to 2.06 — on chances, Lille could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Brest and 1.17 for Lille.
What was the final score of Brest vs Lille?
Brest 2-0 Lille in the France - Ligue 1 on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brest vs Lille?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Brest 31%, draw 25%, Lille 44%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.