Monaco vs Lyon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monaco v Lyon — Team-Based Signals
Monaco vs Lyon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Monaco 2-0 Lyon — Actual Match Statistics
Monaco got the better of Lyon 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Monaco as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Monaco had 51% of the ball to Lyon's 49%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.16 to 0.39.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monaco and 1.33 for Lyon.
What was the final score of Monaco vs Lyon?
Monaco 2-0 Lyon in the France - Ligue 1 on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monaco vs Lyon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Monaco 51%, draw 22%, Lyon 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monaco) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.