Rennes 2-0 Nice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 10 May 2025

Rennes
2-0 HT 1-0
Nice
📅10/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.33
Over Pick
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.79
2-3
38%
1.94
4-5
26%
2.75
6+
13%
7.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.53
1/2
7%
21.95
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
12%
7.18
X/2
21%
5.38
X/X
9%
5.7
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
17%
2.9
2/X
7%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.5pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rennes The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Nice The Market 48%
-8% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.29/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.21
-12% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 83%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
16.6 Crosses 18.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rennes
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Nice
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.50 xG 1.10
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
443 Passes 355
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.01.2025 Nice Nice 3-2 HT 3-1 Rennes Rennes FR1
13.01.2024 Rennes Rennes 2-0 HT 1-0 Nice Nice FR1
05.11.2023 Nice Nice 2-0 HT 1-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
06.05.2023 Nice Nice 2-1 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
02.01.2023 Rennes Rennes 2-1 HT 1-1 Nice Nice FR1
02.04.2022 Nice Nice 1-1 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rennes
2-0
AWAY Nice
1.73 xG 1.07
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
374 Passes 349
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rennes vs Nice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rennes beat Nice 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nice at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rennes had 50% of the ball to Nice's 50%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.73 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nice led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rennes and 1.50 for Nice.

What was the final score of Rennes vs Nice?

Rennes 2-0 Nice in the France - Ligue 1 on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rennes vs Nice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rennes 30%, draw 25%, Nice 45%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nice) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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