Auxerre vs Nantes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Auxerre v Nantes — Team-Based Signals
Auxerre vs Nantes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Auxerre 1-1 Nantes — Actual Match Statistics
Auxerre and Nantes shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Auxerre had 62% of the ball to Nantes's 38%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.43 to 0.67.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nantes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Auxerre and 1.50 for Nantes.
What was the final score of Auxerre vs Nantes?
Auxerre 1-1 Nantes in the France - Ligue 1 on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Auxerre vs Nantes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Auxerre win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Auxerre 36%, draw 29%, Nantes 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Auxerre) went the other way.