Le Havre vs Marsilya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Le Havre v Marsilya — Team-Based Signals
Le Havre vs Marsilya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Le Havre 1-3 Marsilya — Actual Match Statistics
Marsilya got the better of Le Havre 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Marsilya as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Le Havre had 46% of the ball to Marsilya's 54%, shots finished 10-22, expected goals 0.90 to 2.57.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marsilya led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Le Havre and 2.83 for Marsilya.
What was the final score of Le Havre vs Marsilya?
Le Havre 1-3 Marsilya in the France - Ligue 1 on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Le Havre vs Marsilya?
Before kick-off our model rated an Marsilya win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Le Havre 25%, draw 26%, Marsilya 50%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsilya), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.