Marsilya vs Le Havre Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marsilya v Le Havre — Team-Based Signals
Marsilya vs Le Havre Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Le Havre
FR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Le Havre
FR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Marsilya
FR1
4-0
HT 0-0
Le Havre
FRK
2-0
HT 1-0
Le Havre
FR1
Marsilya 5-1 Le Havre — Actual Match Statistics
Marsilya cruised past Le Havre 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Marsilya as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Marsilya had 70% of the ball to Le Havre's 30%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 3.23 to 0.45.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marsilya had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Marsilya and 0.17 for Le Havre.
What was the final score of Marsilya vs Le Havre?
Marsilya 5-1 Le Havre in the France - Ligue 1 on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marsilya vs Le Havre?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marsilya win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Marsilya 53%, draw 25%, Le Havre 21%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsilya), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.