Angers 2-0 Brest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 5 Jan 2025

Angers
2-0 HT 1-0
Brest
📅05/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Angers vs Brest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.59
Over 2.5
55%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.96
No
42%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
4.61
6+ Goals
14%
26.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.61 — our 25% vs market 15.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.98
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
8%
14.4
X/1
8%
6.27
X/2
13%
4.7
X/X
13%
3.91
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.32
2/X
7%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
59%
-14.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
41%
+14.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
47%
+11.5pp
42%
BTTS No
53%
-11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Angers v Brest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angers EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Brest EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.43/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.32
+8% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 82%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
16.4 Crosses 21.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

Angers vs Brest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Brest
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.05 xG 1.45
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
386 Passes 386
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.01.2024 Brest Brest 1-0 HT 0-0 Angers Angers FRK
29.01.2023 Brest Brest 4-0 HT 2-0 Angers Angers FR1
21.08.2022 Angers Angers 1-3 HT 0-2 Brest Brest FR1
20.07.2022 Angers Angers 0-2 HT 0-1 Brest Brest HAZ
20.03.2022 Angers Angers 1-0 HT 1-0 Brest Brest FR1
12.09.2021 Brest Brest 1-1 HT 0-0 Angers Angers FR1

Angers 2-0 Brest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angers
2-0
AWAY Brest
1.78 xG 0.98
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
252 Passes 461
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Angers vs Brest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angers saw off Brest 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Angers found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Angers had 38% of the ball to Brest's 62%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 1.78 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brest led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Angers and 1.83 for Brest.

What was the final score of Angers vs Brest?

Angers 2-0 Brest in the France - Ligue 1 on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angers vs Brest?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Angers 32%, draw 28%, Brest 40%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brest) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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