Nantes vs Auxerre Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nantes v Auxerre — Team-Based Signals
Nantes vs Auxerre Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Nantes
FR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Auxerre
FR1
3-4
HT 1-3
Auxerre
FRK
1-0
HT 0-0
Auxerre
FRLK
1-1
HT 1-1
Auxerre
FR2
0-2
HT 0-1
Nantes
FR2
Nantes 2-0 Auxerre — Actual Match Statistics
Nantes beat Auxerre 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Nantes made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Nantes had 35% of the ball to Auxerre's 65%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.44 to 1.11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nantes had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nantes and 1.17 for Auxerre.
What was the final score of Nantes vs Auxerre?
Nantes 2-0 Auxerre in the France - Ligue 1 on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nantes vs Auxerre?
Before kick-off our model rated an Auxerre win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nantes 32%, draw 28%, Auxerre 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Auxerre) went the other way.