RC Strasbourg 3-1 Rennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.09
6+ Goals
11%
19.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.81
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
11%
6.4
X/2
14%
4.74
X/X
10%
4.19
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.16
2/X
9%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Rennes EU Bookmakers 45%
-10% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.30/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.27
+19% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
18.3 Crosses 19.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RC Strasbourg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rennes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.39 xG 1.42
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
281 Passes 490
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-0 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
29.10.2023 Rennes Rennes 1-1 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
01.02.2023 Rennes Rennes 3-0 HT 2-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
01.10.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-3 HT 0-1 Rennes Rennes FR1
20.04.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-1 HT 1-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
24.10.2021 Rennes Rennes 1-0 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RC Strasbourg
3-1
AWAY Rennes
0.72 xG 1.09
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
463 Passes 285
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 27
9 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH RC Strasbourg vs Rennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Strasbourg beat Rennes 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rennes at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, RC Strasbourg had 60% of the ball to Rennes's 40%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.72 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rennes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for RC Strasbourg and 1.50 for Rennes.

What was the final score of RC Strasbourg vs Rennes?

RC Strasbourg 3-1 Rennes in the France - Ligue 1 on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RC Strasbourg vs Rennes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split RC Strasbourg 34%, draw 26%, Rennes 41%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rennes) ✗ Under 2.5
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