Siheung Citizen 0-3 Busan Transportation — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
56%
+2.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siheung Citizen EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 23%
+15% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
2.16/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.49
+33% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Siheung Citizen
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Busan Transportation
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
6 Corners 8
19.04.2025 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 0-1 HT 0-1 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
02.11.2024 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 3-1 HT 2-1 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
23.06.2024 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 3-1 HT 1-1 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
26.08.2023 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 1-2 HT 0-1 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
29.04.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-0 HT 0-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
20.08.2022 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 2-1 HT 0-1 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
POST-MATCH Siheung Citizen vs Busan Transportation
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan Transportation cruised past Siheung Citizen 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Siheung Citizen at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Siheung Citizen and 1.33 for Busan Transportation.

What was the final score of Siheung Citizen vs Busan Transportation?

Siheung Citizen 0-3 Busan Transportation in the South Kore - K3 League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Siheung Citizen vs Busan Transportation?

Before kick-off our model rated a Siheung Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Siheung Citizen 59%, draw 22%, Busan Transportation 19%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Siheung Citizen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Siheung Citizen) ✓ Over 2.5
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