Busan Transportation 3-1 Siheung Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
43%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.1pp
43%
Away Win
34%
+9.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Siheung Citizen EU Bookmakers 37%
-23% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.03/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.98
-17% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan Transportation
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Siheung Citizen
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
8 Corners 6
23.06.2024 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 3-1 HT 1-1 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
26.08.2023 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 1-2 HT 0-1 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
29.04.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-0 HT 0-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
20.08.2022 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 2-1 HT 0-1 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
23.04.2022 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 2-1 HT 1-1 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Busan Transportation vs Siheung Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan Transportation got the better of Siheung Citizen 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Siheung Citizen at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Busan Transportation had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Busan Transportation and 1.40 for Siheung Citizen.

What was the final score of Busan Transportation vs Siheung Citizen?

Busan Transportation 3-1 Siheung Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan Transportation vs Siheung Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Siheung Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Busan Transportation 35%, draw 22%, Siheung Citizen 43%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Siheung Citizen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Siheung Citizen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GK3L More South Kore - K3 League
2 Nov 2024
08:00 Yangpyeong vs Mokpo City Analysis →
08:00 Changwon City vs Hwaseong Analysis →
08:00 Gimhae City vs Gangneung City Analysis →
08:00 Daegu II vs Yeoju Sejong Analysis →
08:00 Daejeon Korail vs Gyeongju HNP Analysis →
08:00 Paju Citizen vs Chuncheon Citizen Analysis →