Genesis PN 1-3 Olancho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
31%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.6pp
34%
Draw
31%
+2.7pp
31%
Away Win
39%
-7.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Olancho EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.71/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.03
-33% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
250 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genesis PN
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Olancho
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
09.02.2025 Olancho Olancho 1-1 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
08.11.2024 Genesis PN 0-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
01.09.2024 Olancho Olancho 4-0 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
06.05.2024 Olancho Olancho 0-0 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
03.05.2024 Genesis PN 1-0 HT 1-0 Olancho Olancho HON
21.04.2024 Genesis PN 0-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
POST-MATCH Genesis PN vs Olancho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho got the better of Genesis PN 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 34% / 31% — and on the day Olancho made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Genesis PN and 0.83 for Olancho.

What was the final score of Genesis PN vs Olancho?

Genesis PN 1-3 Olancho in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genesis PN vs Olancho?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genesis PN win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Genesis PN 35%, draw 34%, Olancho 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Genesis PN), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Genesis PN) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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