Lobos UPNFM 2-0 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -18%
1.41/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.51
-9% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobos UPNFM
1W-3D-2L
AWAY CD Victoria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
03.04.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-0 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
04.02.2025 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
03.11.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
26.08.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-1 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
20.04.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-1 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
25.02.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 2-4 HT 1-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH Lobos UPNFM vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lobos UPNFM beat CD Victoria 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lobos UPNFM as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Victoria led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lobos UPNFM and 1.33 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of Lobos UPNFM vs CD Victoria?

Lobos UPNFM 2-0 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobos UPNFM vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lobos UPNFM win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lobos UPNFM 45%, draw 27%, CD Victoria 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lobos UPNFM), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lobos UPNFM) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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