Lobos UPNFM 1-1 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 4 Feb 2025

📅04/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.4pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.67/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.13
+24% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobos UPNFM
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CD Victoria
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
8 Corners 3
03.11.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
26.08.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-1 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
20.04.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-1 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
25.02.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 2-4 HT 1-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
30.10.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
03.09.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 3-1 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
POST-MATCH Lobos UPNFM vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lobos UPNFM and CD Victoria couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Victoria led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lobos UPNFM and 1.67 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of Lobos UPNFM vs CD Victoria?

Lobos UPNFM 1-1 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobos UPNFM vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lobos UPNFM win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lobos UPNFM 39%, draw 30%, CD Victoria 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lobos UPNFM), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lobos UPNFM) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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