Aktobe 2-1 Okzhetpes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.45
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
13%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
65%
+3.1pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.9pp
13%
Away Win
14%
-1.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aktobe EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Okzhetpes EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
1.81/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.27
-3% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aktobe
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Okzhetpes
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
17.05.2025 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 1-3 HT 1-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
22.10.2023 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 1-1 HT 1-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
09.03.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 5-1 HT 3-1 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
20.10.2019 Aktobe Aktobe 1-2 HT 1-1 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
25.04.2015 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 2-3 HT 0-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
POST-MATCH Aktobe vs Okzhetpes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aktobe nicked a narrow win over Okzhetpes 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aktobe as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Aktobe had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Aktobe and 1.40 for Okzhetpes.

What was the final score of Aktobe vs Okzhetpes?

Aktobe 2-1 Okzhetpes in the Kazakistan - Super League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aktobe vs Okzhetpes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Aktobe 68%, draw 19%, Okzhetpes 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aktobe), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aktobe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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