Valerenga vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valerenga v Sarpsborg 08 — Team-Based Signals
Valerenga vs Sarpsborg 08 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 3-1
Valerenga
NOR
0-2
HT 0-0
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
3-3
HT 2-2
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
0-1
HT 0-1
Valerenga
NOR
2-1
HT 0-0
Valerenga
NOR
Valerenga 4-0 Sarpsborg 08 — Actual Match Statistics
Valerenga swept aside Sarpsborg 08 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Valerenga as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.
On the day, Valerenga had 49% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 51%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.28 to 0.88.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Valerenga and 1.83 for Sarpsborg 08.
What was the final score of Valerenga vs Sarpsborg 08?
Valerenga 4-0 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valerenga vs Sarpsborg 08?
Before kick-off our model rated a Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 48%, draw 22%, Sarpsborg 08 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valerenga), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.