Tromsö 1-2 Brann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 31% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.11
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
17%
5.2
X/2
12%
6.43
X/X
17%
4.94
2/1
9%
24.1
2/2
12%
4.32
2/X
5%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tromsö EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Brann EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +17%
1.42/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.37
-5% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.2
17.3 Crosses 17.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsö
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Brann
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.36 xG 1.78
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
247 Passes 509
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 41
10 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2025 Brann Brann 3-1 HT 0-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
27.10.2024 Brann Brann 4-0 HT 2-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
01.04.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 2-4 HT 0-2 Brann Brann NOR
24.09.2023 Brann Brann 2-1 HT 2-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
23.07.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 3-1 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR
19.09.2021 Tromsö Tromsö 1-1 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tromsö
1-2
AWAY Brann
0.84 xG 0.88
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
389 Passes 467
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tromsö vs Brann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brann nicked a narrow win over Tromsö 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tromsö at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tromsö had 46% of the ball to Brann's 54%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.84 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brann led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tromsö and 2.50 for Brann.

What was the final score of Tromsö vs Brann?

Tromsö 1-2 Brann in the Norway - Eliteserien on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tromsö vs Brann?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tromsö 41%, draw 28%, Brann 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tromsö) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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