Sporting CP II 1-0 Uniao De Leiria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.2pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 40%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -20%
1.49/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.31
+18% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 16.9
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP II
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2023 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 0-1 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR3
06.11.2022 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP II
1-0
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
0.90 xG 1.15
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
253 Passes 298
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Crosses 27
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sporting CP II vs Uniao De Leiria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP II squeezed past Uniao De Leiria 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Sporting CP II made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting CP II had 47% of the ball to Uniao De Leiria's 53%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.90 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Uniao De Leiria led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Sporting CP II and 1.00 for Uniao De Leiria.

What was the final score of Sporting CP II vs Uniao De Leiria?

Sporting CP II 1-0 Uniao De Leiria in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP II vs Uniao De Leiria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP II 40%, draw 27%, Uniao De Leiria 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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