Penafiel 0-0 UD Oliveirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.34
6+ Goals
11%
13.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.0pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penafiel EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -15%
1.32/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/2.05
-3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -38%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses 17.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penafiel
1W-4D-1L
AWAY UD Oliveirense
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.38 xG 1.01
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
285 Passes 229
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.01.2025 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 2-2 HT 1-0 Penafiel Penafiel POR2
11.08.2024 Penafiel Penafiel 4-3 HT 2-3 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
03.02.2024 Penafiel Penafiel 1-1 HT 0-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
27.08.2023 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 3-1 HT 2-1 Penafiel Penafiel POR2
04.03.2023 Penafiel Penafiel 1-1 HT 0-1 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
09.09.2022 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 1-1 HT 1-1 Penafiel Penafiel POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Penafiel
0-0
AWAY UD Oliveirense
1.02 xG 1.47
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
355 Passes 253
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Crosses 2
POST-MATCH Penafiel vs UD Oliveirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penafiel and UD Oliveirense played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Penafiel at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Penafiel had 56% of the ball to UD Oliveirense's 44%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 1.02 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Penafiel and 1.83 for UD Oliveirense.

What was the final score of Penafiel vs UD Oliveirense?

Penafiel 0-0 UD Oliveirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penafiel vs UD Oliveirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penafiel win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Penafiel 44%, draw 26%, UD Oliveirense 31%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Penafiel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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