Benfica II 1-1 Leixoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
3.74
6+ Goals
10%
16.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
38%
+9.2pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.1pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-4.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica II EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.51/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.37
+8% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses 17.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica II
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Leixoes
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.71 xG 1.22
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
319 Passes 326
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.01.2025 Benfica II Benfica II 4-0 HT 2-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
10.08.2024 Leixoes Leixoes 2-1 HT 1-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
10.02.2024 Benfica II Benfica II 1-1 HT 1-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
03.09.2023 Leixoes Leixoes 1-1 HT 0-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
25.02.2023 Leixoes Leixoes 1-1 HT 1-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
03.09.2022 Benfica II Benfica II 2-1 HT 1-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica II
1-1
AWAY Leixoes
1.47 xG 1.01
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
395 Passes 190
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Benfica II vs Leixoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica II and Leixoes couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Benfica II at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Benfica II had 63% of the ball to Leixoes's 37%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.47 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica II had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Benfica II and 1.00 for Leixoes.

What was the final score of Benfica II vs Leixoes?

Benfica II 1-1 Leixoes in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica II vs Leixoes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Benfica II 47%, draw 23%, Leixoes 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Benfica II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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