Spartak Kostroma 2-1 Chelyabinsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 17 Aug 2025

Spartak Kostroma
2-1 HT 1-0
Chelyabinsk
📅17/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2025/2026

Spartak Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.1pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.7pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spartak Kostroma v Chelyabinsk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Kostroma EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelyabinsk EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-13% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -46%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Spartak Kostroma 2-1 Chelyabinsk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Kostroma
2-1
AWAY Chelyabinsk
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Spartak Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Kostroma edged past Chelyabinsk 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Spartak Kostroma made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spartak Kostroma had 45% of the ball to Chelyabinsk's 55%, shots finished 11-7.

What was the final score of Spartak Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk?

Spartak Kostroma 2-1 Chelyabinsk in the Russia - FNL on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Kostroma win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Spartak Kostroma 39%, draw 32%, Chelyabinsk 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Kostroma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Kostroma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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