Volga Ulyanovsk 1-0 SKA Khabarovsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
43%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-4.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
43%
Away Win
37%
+6.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volga Ulyanovsk EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk EU Bookmakers 40%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
0.55/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.30
-49% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volga Ulyanovsk
0W-2D-0L
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2023 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 1-1 HT 0-1 Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk RUS1
01.10.2022 Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk 0-0 HT 0-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
POST-MATCH Volga Ulyanovsk vs SKA Khabarovsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volga Ulyanovsk squeezed past SKA Khabarovsk 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was SKA Khabarovsk at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Volga Ulyanovsk and 0.50 for SKA Khabarovsk.

What was the final score of Volga Ulyanovsk vs SKA Khabarovsk?

Volga Ulyanovsk 1-0 SKA Khabarovsk in the Russia - FNL on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volga Ulyanovsk vs SKA Khabarovsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an SKA Khabarovsk win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Volga Ulyanovsk 31%, draw 26%, SKA Khabarovsk 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SKA Khabarovsk), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SKA Khabarovsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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