Gençlerbirliği 0-1 Antalyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.08
6+ Goals
9%
20.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 32% vs market 30.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.63
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
19%
5.3
X/2
11%
5.85
X/X
9%
4.02
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
13%
4.22
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
+6.7pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.3pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.44/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.21
+0% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
19.3 Crosses 15.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gençlerbirliği
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Antalyaspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.32 xG 0.96
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
367 Passes 339
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.01.2021 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 0-1 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
13.09.2020 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
09.03.2020 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-1 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
19.10.2019 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-6 HT 0-5 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
06.05.2018 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 0-1 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
09.12.2017 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gençlerbirliği
0-1
AWAY Antalyaspor
1.14 xG 0.65
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
297 Passes 373
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 18
29 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gençlerbirliği vs Antalyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antalyaspor squeezed past Gençlerbirliği 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gençlerbirliği at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Gençlerbirliği had 45% of the ball to Antalyaspor's 55%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.14 to 0.65 — the balance of chances actually favoured Gençlerbirliği.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Antalyaspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gençlerbirliği and 1.00 for Antalyaspor.

What was the final score of Gençlerbirliği vs Antalyaspor?

Gençlerbirliği 0-1 Antalyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gençlerbirliği vs Antalyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gençlerbirliği win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gençlerbirliği 45%, draw 25%, Antalyaspor 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gençlerbirliği) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gençlerbirliği) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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