Beşiktaş 2-1 Eyüpspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
29%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.87
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.4
X/1
17%
4.08
X/2
8%
11.1
X/X
7%
6.52
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
19.55
2/2
6%
8.43
2/X
8%
17.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.55 — our 12% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
61%
-0.7pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.1pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.82/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.44
-12% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
22.0 Crosses 12.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beşiktaş
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Eyüpspor
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.65 xG 1.69
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
406 Passes 267
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.02.2025 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 1-3 HT 1-2 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
22.09.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-1 HT 1-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor TSL
16.01.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 4-0 HT 2-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beşiktaş
2-1
AWAY Eyüpspor
2.68 xG 1.27
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
377 Passes 302
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
44 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Beşiktaş vs Eyüpspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beşiktaş nicked a narrow win over Eyüpspor 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Beşiktaş as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Beşiktaş had 54% of the ball to Eyüpspor's 46%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.68 to 1.27 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Beşiktaş's control.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Beşiktaş and 0.67 for Eyüpspor.

What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Eyüpspor?

Beşiktaş 2-1 Eyüpspor in the Turkey - Super League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beşiktaş vs Eyüpspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Beşiktaş 60%, draw 20%, Eyüpspor 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beşiktaş), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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