Auda 2-2 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Cup, 17 Aug 2026

Auda
2-2 HT 2-0 AET 3-2
Grobina
📅17/08/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.53
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
2.23
Over
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
51%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Auda win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
57%
Home Win
61%
-3.9pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.3pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina The Market 21%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
382 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Grobina
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.45 xG 1.26
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
394 Passes 193
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
30 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.06.2026 Grobina Grobina 0-0 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
07.05.2026 Auda Auda 7-0 HT 3-0 Grobina Grobina LET
14.03.2026 Grobina Grobina 0-2 HT 0-1 Auda Auda LET
09.11.2025 Grobina Grobina 2-2 HT 0-2 Auda Auda LET
24.08.2025 Auda Auda 1-0 HT 0-0 Grobina Grobina LET
06.08.2025 Auda Auda 1-0 HT 0-0 Grobina Grobina LETK
POST-MATCH Auda vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auda and Grobina shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Auda at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Auda and 0.33 for Grobina.

What was the final score of Auda vs Grobina?

Auda 2-2 Grobina in the Latvia - Cup on 17/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Auda 57%, draw 18%, Grobina 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Auda) ✗ Under 2.5
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