Auda 1-0 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 24 Aug 2025

Auda
1-0 HT 0-0
Grobina
📅24/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
15%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
63%
+0.4pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.7pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.7pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.50/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.49
-12% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
21.6 Crosses 22.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Grobina
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.44 xG 0.82
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
446 Passes 209
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.08.2025 Auda Auda 1-0 HT 0-0 Grobina Grobina LETK
18.06.2025 Grobina Grobina 1-2 HT 1-1 Auda Auda LET
24.04.2025 Auda Auda 2-0 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
22.09.2024 Auda Auda 2-0 HT 2-0 Grobina Grobina LET
02.07.2024 Auda Auda 0-1 HT 0-1 Grobina Grobina LET
11.05.2024 Grobina Grobina 2-2 HT 1-2 Auda Auda LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auda
1-0
AWAY Grobina
1.84 xG 1.37
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
394 Passes 312
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
39 Box Touches 33
29 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Auda vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auda squeezed past Grobina 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Auda as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Auda had 54% of the ball to Grobina's 46%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.84 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Auda and 0.67 for Grobina.

What was the final score of Auda vs Grobina?

Auda 1-0 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Auda 63%, draw 19%, Grobina 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auda) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Auda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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