Auda 1-0 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Cup, 6 Aug 2025

Auda
1-0 HT 0-0
Grobina
📅06/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.34
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
28%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.88
No
42%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
4%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
70%
-16.4pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.6pp
28%
Away Win
12%
+15.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.4pp
42%
BTTS No
51%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 15%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
4.05/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/5.00
+24% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -36%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
416 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Grobina
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.19 xG 0.98
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
430 Passes 220
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
30 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.06.2025 Grobina Grobina 1-2 HT 1-1 Auda Auda LET
24.04.2025 Auda Auda 2-0 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
22.09.2024 Auda Auda 2-0 HT 2-0 Grobina Grobina LET
02.07.2024 Auda Auda 0-1 HT 0-1 Grobina Grobina LET
11.05.2024 Grobina Grobina 2-2 HT 1-2 Auda Auda LET
31.03.2024 Grobina Grobina 1-1 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
POST-MATCH Auda vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auda squeezed past Grobina 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Auda as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Auda and 0.83 for Grobina.

What was the final score of Auda vs Grobina?

Auda 1-0 Grobina in the Latvia - Cup on 06/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Auda 54%, draw 19%, Grobina 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auda) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Auda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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