Grobina 1-2 Auda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 18 Jun 2025

Grobina
1-2 HT 1-1
Auda
📅18/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.34
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
48%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
16%
+12.8pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.4pp
48%
Away Win
64%
-16.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grobina EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Auda EU Bookmakers 69%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -6%
1.61/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/0.92
+51% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +13%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
247 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 80%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.3
17.1 Crosses 21.6
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grobina
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Auda
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.83 xG 2.28
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
235 Passes 456
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.04.2025 Auda Auda 2-0 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
22.09.2024 Auda Auda 2-0 HT 2-0 Grobina Grobina LET
02.07.2024 Auda Auda 0-1 HT 0-1 Grobina Grobina LET
11.05.2024 Grobina Grobina 2-2 HT 1-2 Auda Auda LET
31.03.2024 Grobina Grobina 1-1 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
29.09.2021 Grobina Grobina 1-5 HT 0-3 Auda Auda LET1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grobina
1-2
AWAY Auda
1.68 xG 1.77
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
11 Corners 3
142 Passes 299
59% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Grobina vs Auda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auda edged past Grobina 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Auda as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Grobina had 39% of the ball to Auda's 61%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.68 to 1.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Grobina and 2.00 for Auda.

What was the final score of Grobina vs Auda?

Grobina 1-2 Auda in the Latvia - Virsliga on 18/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grobina vs Auda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Grobina 28%, draw 24%, Auda 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Auda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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