Auda 2-0 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 22 Sep 2024

Auda
2-0 HT 2-0
Grobina
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Latvia - Virsliga – 2024

Auda vs Grobina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.29
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.33
Over 2.5
49%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
73%
-12.8pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.2pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+6.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
39%
+12.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
61%
-12.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.7pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Auda v Grobina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.59/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/2.05
-33% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +9%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
517 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 73%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.8
21.7 Crosses 9.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4

Auda vs Grobina Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Grobina
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.78 xG 1.22
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
451 Passes 243
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.07.2024 Auda Auda 0-1 HT 0-1 Grobina Grobina LET
11.05.2024 Grobina Grobina 2-2 HT 1-2 Auda Auda LET
31.03.2024 Grobina Grobina 1-1 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
29.09.2021 Grobina Grobina 1-5 HT 0-3 Auda Auda LET1

Auda 2-0 Grobina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auda
2-0
AWAY Grobina
2.06 xG 0.11
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
576 Passes 260
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Auda vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auda got the better of Grobina 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Auda as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Auda had 64% of the ball to Grobina's 36%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 2.06 to 0.11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Auda and 1.25 for Grobina.

What was the final score of Auda vs Grobina?

Auda 2-0 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Auda 60%, draw 23%, Grobina 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auda), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Auda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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