Metta / LU Riga vs FS Jelgava Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Metta / LU Riga v FS Jelgava — Team-Based Signals
Metta / LU Riga vs FS Jelgava Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
FS Jelgava
LET
0-1
HT 0-1
FS Jelgava
LET
2-3
HT 1-0
Metta / LU Riga
LET
Metta / LU Riga 2-0 FS Jelgava — Actual Match Statistics
Metta / LU Riga beat FS Jelgava 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Metta / LU Riga as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Metta / LU Riga had 48% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 52%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 2.31 to 0.53.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Metta / LU Riga and 0.83 for FS Jelgava.
What was the final score of Metta / LU Riga vs FS Jelgava?
Metta / LU Riga 2-0 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Metta / LU Riga vs FS Jelgava?
Before kick-off our model rated a Metta / LU Riga win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Metta / LU Riga 41%, draw 31%, FS Jelgava 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metta / LU Riga), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.